Why do economists generally seem more cautious than many folks in Silicon Valley about the potential economic impacts of artificial intelligence, especially when forecasting extreme scenarios? One big ...

We must hope that Trump secures an early opening of the Hormuz Strait that would allow the restoration of normal energy, fertilizer, aluminum, and helium supply flow from the Gulf. If that doesn't ...

The AI jobpocalypse crowd has a fresh challenge to its view. “What Makes New Work Different from More Work?,” a new NBER working paper by economist David Autor and co-authors, shows that the American ...

If AI truly is a powerful general-purpose technology, it will eventually reshape work in profound ways as it boosts worker productivity and wages. History suggests the changes will be mostly ...

Jewish students should not have to choose between strong community and full belonging. They should be able to have both. And universities that cannot provide it should not be excused by semantic ...

Most information regarding the economy in 2025 has now been published, including inbound foreign investment data released this week. Based on the first year of its international economic policies, the ...

No president, regardless of party, should ever face the prospect of curtailing combat operations because the United States is running out of bullets.

The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan ...

The world is watching to see whether the Iran war ends soon with mutual de-escalation, or drags on with further damage to Iran, the Persian Gulf and a global economy that depends on that region’s oil.

The China economy field is full of people repeating the government’s numbers and “analyzing” them. If that’s sufficient, China watchers can just project a gradual fall from 5 percent GDP growth ...

About fifteen years ago, I participated in some war games about the possibility of an attack on Iran, not unlike what now unfolds. I was on the Iran team. Our goal was to stymie the U.S. and Israeli ...