Fed-funds futures traders now see a slightly better than 50-50 chance the Federal Reserve will cut its key interest rate by 50 basis points, or half a percentage point, at its Sept. 17-18 meeting ...

A NASA study predicted the future probability that a large asteroid named "Bennu" could collide with Earth. A 2021 NASA study did indeed determine the probability of Bennu, a large asteroid heavily ...

Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.27% this week from 4.29% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.63%, compared with 4.6% last week. As a result, the current 2-year/10-year ...

The inverted Bund yields continued this week with the negative 2-year/10-year yield spread at negative 39.2 basis points compared to negative 45.9 basis points last week. As a result, today’s ...

Source: Thunder Bay, Canada. Used with permission of Dan Hunt, MD. Coincidences attract our attention because they seem weird, odd, or unlikely. Their improbability stimulates wonder—“what are the ...